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Comment This is no longer a drill; it's a shovel. (Score 1) 211

I believe two things are true:

1. LLMs and the rest of what we call "generative AI" are not genuinely intelligent, and probably are not, in any meaningful way, the basis for a future genuine artificial intelligence.

2. The way that humanity has handled the advent of "generative AI" has demonstrated that we are unlikely to survive the advent of true artificial intelligence for very long.

Comment Eat it, da Vinci. (Score 4, Interesting) 76

AI doesn't really matter. It's just that hectobillionaire bizbros aren't especially smart.

They're just exceptionally lucky. If you have a hundred million players playing the same game of Monopoly, almost all of them are going to lose. But somebody will win! And then they have everything. And since we all have to live on this Monopoly board the rest of our lives, people, bizbros included, want there to be a logical reason for this one particular guy to have so much when everybody else has so little. And also, everybody else needs to score a piece of that bizbro's everything in order to stay on the board. He's so powerful, it would be madness to cross him now that he has everything.

So there's tons of incentives for everyone to believe, or pretend to believe, that the bizbro is incredibly, historically smart. And that includes the bizbro himself. Smart about what? Business! AI? Sure, that's a business. Good enough! So Mr. Bizbro now has a million fans and sycophants and hangers-on telling him he's a genius. Since the pot he's won is bigger than anyone's ever won before, they tell him he's the greatest genius in history.

But, again, he isn't. So that's a lie. The biggest lie in history so far!

Eventually, the lie comes crashing down. If the hectobillionaire bizbro were a normal business guy, he would be ruined, and that would be the end of it. But he has a hundred billion dollars. It would take a thousand lifetimes to run out of money. So he doesn't actually suffer any of the consequences of the deception around his intelligence. But now he's scared! So he lingers on and on and on, flailing wildly, causing more and more damage to civilization, everyone making more and bigger excuses for him, until he, inshallah, finally dies and leaves the world to the next group of psychopaths to plunder.

The upshot is: If you think these oligarchs are acting crazy and causing societal damage here at the top of their game, just wait until the market finally drops out from under them.

Comment The Oscar for Least Extra Fingers goes to... (Score 2) 22

Demi Moore came out as an AI booster? Has anybody asked the Double-Dose-of-the-Substance Monster what she thinks? I honestly think she's more qualified to opine on people throwing away the old ways and unthinkingly embracing ugly new fads.

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